Well…here we are just two games left before the All-Star break and one if them I have been looking forward […]
I might kick myself for this later but there is just to much value on The Bucks ML even with […]
Magic are rolling into Boston tonight to play an ESPN feature game after coming off a road win vs The […]
I get asked a lot who I think will win a game and more often than not I tell them […]
After the radio show ended this morning I only talked about a few things I wanted to about Super Bowl LIV…so, I will cover that and the rest here.
Like with every other SB I’m capping this spread not to be sharp, reason being is that the oddsmakers only have a fraction of the time to set the line as opposed to the regular season and they need to set it to entice action on both sides and a -1.5/PK type line does exactly that. We are already seeing this set up with 34.5k betting tickets and the money and tickets both hovering in the upper 50% ranges on the home team.
I’m looking at the NBA feature game on ABC tonight. This is more or less a situational handicap with line opening on the road team at -4.5. The market has slammed Lakers on both the ticket and the money side but the line went into reverse from 4.5 to 4 which has created a money move on Sixers up to 46% and moved the back to 4.5 at the time of this article. I like the home dog in this spot with the public heavy on the Lakers. Philly is carrying a 20-2 SU home record this year they are also +5.77 on the moneyline at home. Lakers obviously not a slouch either going 8-2 SU L10 and a 20-4 road record SU. The ref matchup here is interesting as well with their home ATS capping out at 54.4% This is a perception play on The Sixers, I’m buying off the hook and playing them +5 and taking a shot at the ML. Best of luck whichever way you go. #wmf